TRX Price Prediction: 2025-2040 Outlook and Key Factors

• Technical Strength: TRX holds above critical MA support with bullish MACD crossover
• Ecosystem Growth: TRON's stablecoin dominance and Layer-2 traction provide fundamental support
• Market Risks: Exchange vulnerabilities and regulatory uncertainty may cause short-term volatility

TRX Price Prediction

TRX Technical Analysis: Bullish Signals Emerge as Price Holds Above Key Levels

TRX is currently trading at $0.2721, slightly above its 20-day moving average of $0.270775, indicating potential bullish momentum. The MACD shows a positive crossover with the histogram at 0.001790, suggesting strengthening upward movement. Bollinger Bands reveal the price is testing the middle band, with room to approach the upper band at $0.277097. 'TRX appears to be building a base for its next MOVE higher,' says BTCC analyst John. 'The technical setup favors bulls if the price maintains above the $0.2700 support.'

Mixed Sentiment Surrounds TRX Amid Market Developments

While TRON faces bearish pressure in breaking key resistance, positive developments like Justin Sun's endorsement at Bitcoin Vegas 2025 and TRON's growing stablecoin dominance provide fundamental support. 'The market sentiment is cautiously optimistic,' notes BTCC's John. 'TRON's overtaking of Cardano in market cap and rising DeFi activity could fuel further gains, though the $11.5M BitoPro hack reminder keeps volatility risks elevated.'

Factors Influencing TRX’s Price

Altcoins Near Historic Support Signal Potential Shift from Bitcoin

Altcoin dominance approaches critical historical support levels, hinting at a potential market rotation away from Bitcoin. The altcoin segment, excluding stablecoins, now holds about 25% of the total crypto market—a level that has previously sparked multi-week rallies in 2019, 2020, and mid-2021.

Bitcoin's momentum appears to be plateauing despite ongoing enthusiasm around ETFs. Meanwhile, altcoins show resilience near key support zones, suggesting capital may soon flow into higher-risk assets. This could mark the early stages of a broader shift in investor appetite.

Ethereum Hits $219B: What’s Fueling Its Surge Past Solana and Tron?

Ethereum has cemented its dominance with $219 billion in total on-chain capital, leaving competitors like Solana and Tron far behind. The network's robust stablecoin ecosystem, featuring USDT, USDC, and USD1, accounts for over $135 billion of this value, underscoring its deep utility in decentralized finance.

With a total value locked (TVL) of $61.10 billion in DeFi applications, Ethereum remains the undisputed leader in lending, staking, and NFTs. This capital inflow highlights its pivotal role in shaping the decentralized ecosystem, while other chains struggle to match its momentum.

Arbitrum Outshines Ethereum in Stablecoin Inflows as Layer-2 Networks Gain Traction

Arbitrum, Ethereum's layer-2 scaling solution, has emerged as the dominant force in stablecoin inflows, attracting $381 million over the past week. Meanwhile, Ethereum itself experienced a significant outflow of $374 million, signaling a shift in user preference toward faster and more cost-effective alternatives.

The trend underscores growing demand for layer-2 networks that offer reduced transaction fees and improved efficiency. Tron also capitalized on this movement, drawing $102 million in stablecoin inflows, further cementing its position as a leader in USDT supply—particularly in Asian markets where stablecoin payments thrive.

Solana, however, faced headwinds with $239 million in outflows, likely due to cooling interest in memecoins. The data suggests a broader market rotation toward layer-2 solutions, raising questions about a potential liquidity 'flippening' where Ethereum's scaling networks could eventually surpass the mainchain in activity.

Stablecoins Surpass $250 Billion Milestone Amid Regulatory Calls

Stablecoins have achieved a historic milestone, exceeding $250 billion in market capitalization for the first time. This growth underscores their pivotal role in decentralized finance, particularly in facilitating international transfers and Real World Asset investments. Tether's USDT, the pioneer stablecoin launched on Bitcoin's Omni layer, remains a dominant force alongside Ethereum and Tron-based alternatives.

Ethereum hosts 50% of stablecoin activity, primarily for DeFi applications, while Tron captures 30% of the market for cross-border payments. "Crossing $250 billion marks a turning point. Stablecoins are no longer experimental, they're essential," observes Hank Huang of Kronos Research. Market participants universally agree that regulatory clarity is now critical for further adoption.

Justin Sun Highlights TRON's Role in Blockchain Finance at Bitcoin Vegas 2025

TRON DAO emerged as a dominant force at Bitcoin Vegas 2025, sponsoring high-profile events and engaging in pivotal discussions about the future of blockchain in finance. Justin Sun, TRON's founder, emphasized the convergence of traditional finance and decentralized technology during a keynote panel alongside industry leaders from Bitwise and BitGo.

The conference showcased TRON's strategic positioning at the intersection of policy and innovation, with Sun predicting an influx of hybrid financial products leveraging blockchain. Kraken's Oceanic Night, co-hosted by TRON DAO, further solidified its influence among institutional and retail investors.

TRON Faces Bearish Pressure as TRX Struggles to Break Key Resistance

TRON's TRX token is testing investor patience as it repeatedly fails to sustain momentum above the critical $0.274 resistance level. The digital asset has faced two rejections at this price ceiling in recent weeks, each followed by a retreat toward $0.266—a pattern that suggests weakening bullish conviction.

The token remains trapped in a five-month trading range between $0.22 support and $0.274 resistance, with the $0.2475 midpoint serving as a historical pivot point. While TRX successfully consolidated near this level before April's rally, current on-balance volume trends paint a concerning picture of dwindling demand.

Market technicians note that any legitimate breakout would require both a decisive price move above resistance and accompanying volume confirmation. Until then, the bears maintain the upper hand in this ongoing tug-of-war.

Taiwanese Crypto Exchange BitoPro Suspected of $11.5M Hack in May, ZachXBT Reports

BitoPro, a Taiwan-based cryptocurrency exchange, allegedly suffered a security breach on May 8, resulting in the loss of over $11.5 million worth of digital assets. Blockchain investigator ZachXBT revealed the exploit involved unauthorized access to the exchange's hot wallets across multiple blockchains, including Ethereum, Tron, Solana, and Polygon.

The stolen funds were reportedly sold on decentralized exchanges, with proceeds funneled through privacy tools like Tornado Cash and Thorchain before being obscured via Wasabi Wallet, a Bitcoin mixing service. BitoPro has not publicly acknowledged the incident, instead attributing a service suspension last month to "system maintenance."

Operating since 2018 under BitoGroup, the exchange primarily serves the Taiwanese market with TWD trading pairs for major cryptocurrencies. Despite processing $20 million in daily volume—making it the island's top local exchange—the platform maintained unusual silence about the breach across social channels.

TRON (TRX) Poised for Breakout as Bulls Regain Control Above $0.2700

TRON (TRX) is stabilizing at $0.2706 after a recent pullback, with its price caught between resistance at $0.2723 and support at $0.2639. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is recovering near neutral levels, while the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) has just flashed a bullish crossover—a potential signal for upward momentum.

A decisive break above $0.2723 could propel TRX toward higher levels, whereas failure to hold this ground may trigger a retest of recent lows. The cryptocurrency has been riding a broader bullish trend since early April, climbing from below $0.23 to recent highs above $0.275. Now, it faces a critical technical juncture as it hovers near the 9 EMA and middle Bollinger Band at $0.2693.

Bollinger Bands are narrowing, suggesting subdued volatility and the likelihood of an impending significant move. With the 50 SMA and 100 SMA acting as overhead resistance and the 200 SMA providing support, TRX's next directional shift hinges on whether bulls can sustain control.

TRX Price Analysis: Whales Accumulate as DeFi and Volume Rise

TRON (TRX) continues to dominate stablecoin settlements, with USDT transaction volumes surpassing $500 billion monthly since November 2024. The network's high throughput, institutional trust, and steady DeFi participation reinforce its leadership. Yet, beneath the surface, smaller investors are retreating.

TRON's infrastructure processes over 8 million daily transactions, supported by a 'Gas Free' mechanism that allows fee payments in USDT instead of TRX. This feature enhances accessibility for new users and institutions, driving sustained adoption.

Despite rising transaction volumes and whale activity, mixed address metrics and increasing leverage suggest underlying risks. The divergence in user sentiment highlights a nuanced market dynamic.

Tron Holds Steady as Coldware Emerges with Monero-Like Trajectory

Tron (TRX) maintains a stable position in the market, trading between $0.22 and $0.28 over the past three months. The network continues to process high transaction volumes without significant volatility, appealing to its core user base despite lacking headline-grabbing updates.

Meanwhile, Coldware ($COLD) gains traction with a presale performance reminiscent of Monero's early days. The project emphasizes utility, featuring a proprietary Layer 1 chain and secure hardware solutions like the Larna 2400 smartphone. Its mobile-first DeFi approach avoids reliance on external platforms, drawing comparisons to Monero's organic growth pattern.

Tron Overtakes Cardano in Market Cap Amid Stablecoin Dominance

Tron (TRX) has surged past Cardano (ADA) to claim the ninth-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, now valued at $25.7 billion. The milestone underscores growing institutional and retail interest in Tron's ecosystem, particularly for stablecoin transactions and decentralized finance applications.

Network efficiency continues to drive adoption, with Tron processing more daily USDT transfers than Ethereum. Market observers note this reflects a broader shift toward low-cost, high-throughput blockchains for trading and DeFi activity. Cardano, now trailing at $24.8 billion, faces mounting pressure as traders reallocate capital to networks demonstrating clearer utility.

Technical resistance looms at TRX's current price level. The coming weeks will test whether Tron can consolidate its position or cede ground in the ongoing reshuffle of layer-1 blockchain rankings.

TRX Price Predictions: 2025, 2030, 2035, 2040 Forecasts

'These projections assume sustained network development,' cautions John. 'Regulatory clarity and Bitcoin ETF flows will significantly impact TRX's long-term trajectory.'

TRX shows strong technical and fundamental potential for multi-year growth, though interim volatility is expected.